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Red109
83222.6
886628.7
634046.5
Blue71
164816.3
929321.8
690510.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions972705015010971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.8
42.744.4
Auto13.7
Teleop25.2
End7.4
red by 24.7
9293
#21
21.82.4
12.314.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Second
8866
#12
28.71.8
20.522.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
red by 12.4
1648
#27
16.32.4
13.515.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Third
832
#9
22.61.8
19.421.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.3
End6.6
red by 12.2
6905
#28
10.42.4
8.511.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsEarned