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Red56
445918.6
671231.1
751416.6
Blue64
590019.6
745127.3
808024.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596045505565707580855664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
27.727.7
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End5.9
red by 3.7
27.30.5
19.620.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End7.7
Second
4459
#20
18.60.0
14.814.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End5.8
blue by 5.9
24.50.5
17.418.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End5.5
Third
7514
#22
16.60.0
12.913.0
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End3.9
blue by 3.0
5900
#15
19.60.5
19.119.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed