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Red50
886628.7
876114.4
529323.2
Blue51
131116.5
179522.1
857715.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525330406070805051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#12
28.70.0
22.322.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
red by 6.6
1795
#19
22.10.2
18.218.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
5293
#18
23.20.0
20.020.1
Auto8.5
Teleop6.5
End8.2
red by 6.7
1311
#24
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End5.0
Third
8761
#23
14.40.0
7.47.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End6.6
blue by 0.7
8577
#16
15.10.2
14.013.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed