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Red81
83222.6
808024.5
886628.7
Blue43
876114.4
688723.8
857715.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674102060801001201408143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#12
28.71.4
22.323.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
red by 5.0
6887
#17
23.80.1
20.620.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Second
24.51.4
18.319.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End5.5
red by 9.4
8577
#16
15.10.1
13.813.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End6.1
Third
832
#9
22.61.4
19.020.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.3
End6.6
red by 8.3
8761
#23
14.40.1
7.47.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed