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Red85
164816.3
688723.8
634046.5
Blue95
634126.3
402625.7
929321.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99582040801201401601808595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.5
49.048.5
Auto13.7
Teleop25.2
End7.4
red by 20.2
6341
#13
26.31.7
19.821.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.2
End8.9
Second
6887
#17
23.80.5
20.119.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 2.0
25.71.7
21.323.0
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End7.2
Third
1648
#27
16.30.5
18.718.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
blue by 5.5
9293
#21
21.81.7
18.520.2
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned