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Red123
131116.5
634046.5
297457.6
Blue74
886628.7
451621.0
179522.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139645010015020012374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.1
57.957.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.4
End8.1
red by 28.9
8866
#12
28.70.1
28.028.1
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
Second
46.50.1
46.846.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.2
End7.4
red by 24.4
1795
#19
22.10.1
21.421.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Third
1311
#24
16.50.1
16.816.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 4.6
4516
#26
21.00.1
20.320.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End6.2