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Red129
131116.5
634046.5
297457.6
Blue85
688723.8
670522.1
590019.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138585010015012985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.2
57.757.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.4
End8.1
red by 33.9
6887
#17
23.80.4
23.524.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End6.4
Second
46.50.2
46.646.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.2
End7.4
red by 24.4
6705
#14
22.10.4
21.922.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
Third
1311
#24
16.50.2
16.516.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 3.1
5900
#15
19.60.4
19.319.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1