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Red71
876114.4
745127.3
402625.7
Blue98
886628.7
451621.0
179522.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7270506080901001107198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End7.7
blue by 1.4
8866
#12
28.70.6
26.827.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.5
End3.4
Second
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End7.2
red by 3.6
1795
#19
22.10.6
20.220.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Third
8761
#23
14.40.0
14.414.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End6.6
blue by 6.7
4516
#26
21.00.6
19.119.7
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End6.2