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Red56
590019.6
670522.1
688723.8
Blue88
671231.1
381521.3
929321.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697840601001205688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6887
#17
23.80.2
24.023.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End6.4
blue by 7.3
31.10.4
30.330.7
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End5.9
Second
6705
#14
22.10.2
22.322.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End6.7
red by 0.3
9293
#21
21.80.4
21.121.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.7
End4.2
Third
5900
#15
19.60.2
19.819.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End9.1
blue by 1.8
3815
#10
21.30.4
20.620.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.8