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Red122
131116.5
634046.5
297457.6
Blue111
418932.0
510934.0
529323.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13588406080100120160180122111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.0
57.957.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.4
End8.1
red by 23.6
34.00.1
33.633.7
Auto6.0
Teleop21.0
End7.1
Second
46.50.0
46.846.8
Auto13.7
Teleop25.2
End7.4
red by 14.5
32.00.1
31.631.7
Auto12.9
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Third
1311
#24
16.50.0
16.716.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End5.0
blue by 6.7
5293
#18
23.20.1
22.822.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.5
End8.2