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Red148
28146.9
873647.5
174646.8
Blue97
34350.4
110248.7
34238.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14914910011012013014016017018014897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#16
47.50.2
47.347.5
Auto12.5
Teleop25.3
End9.6
blue by 2.9
343
#6
50.41.0
51.450.4
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Second
281
#7
46.90.2
46.746.9
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End6.3
blue by 1.8
1102
#34
48.71.0
49.748.7
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Third
1746
#25
46.80.2
46.646.8
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
red by 8.2
342
#29
38.61.0
39.638.6
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3