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Red100
28146.9
281530.2
411229.4
Blue85
418837.2
602326.1
451631.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928740608010012014010085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#7
46.90.6
36.437.0
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End6.3
red by 9.7
4188
#26
37.20.2
34.634.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Second
2815
#22
30.20.6
28.128.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
blue by 0.8
4516
#39
31.00.2
21.021.2
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End7.1
Third
4112
#14
29.40.6
21.021.7
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
red by 3.2
6023
#38
26.10.2
26.526.7
Auto11.8
Teleop8.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned