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Red117
745133.9
634046.3
168352.2
Blue121
808026.1
418837.2
682950.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811550100150200117121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.1
43.143.0
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
red by 2.2
6829
#15
50.00.8
48.649.4
Auto14.6
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
6340
#37
46.30.1
47.847.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 9.0
4188
#26
37.20.8
34.835.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Third
7451
#17
33.90.1
29.729.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.8
red by 7.8
8080
#41
26.10.8
25.826.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsMissed