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Red89
453338.5
281530.2
83228.4
Blue64
886518.6
131116.5
470127.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1045201508964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#24
38.50.2
38.438.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 11.2
4701
#36
27.30.3
22.422.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Second
2815
#22
30.20.2
28.728.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
red by 11.5
8865
#49
18.60.3
15.515.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
Third
832
#30
28.40.2
24.224.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
red by 11.9
1311
#50
16.50.3
17.217.5
Auto8.8
Teleop5.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed