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Red87
671238.6
590026.1
753828.4
Blue102
381530.7
857531.2
634138.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7279406010012014087102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6712
#27
38.61.2
31.432.6
Auto10.0
Teleop22.2
End6.0
red by 0.6
6341
#23
38.11.9
28.230.2
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
Second
7538
#19
28.41.2
17.418.6
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.3
blue by 2.8
8575
#11
31.21.9
23.225.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.7
Third
5900
#46
26.11.2
19.821.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
blue by 4.7
3815
#28
30.71.9
21.623.6
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned