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Red156
34238.6
168352.2
141452.8
Blue116
349038.6
634046.3
453338.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313150100150200156116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#12
52.82.3
39.541.8
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
red by 6.5
6340
#37
46.31.0
47.746.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End7.3
Second
52.22.3
43.045.3
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
red by 13.6
3490
#18
38.61.0
35.734.6
Auto12.8
Teleop19.1
End6.5
Third
342
#29
38.62.3
34.937.2
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
red by 0.1
4533
#24
38.51.0
38.337.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned