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Red73
348930.3
281530.2
126151.2
Blue137
83228.4
450951.3
929335.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113945015020073137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
51.22.8
46.543.6
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
blue by 0.1
51.32.8
43.846.6
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
3489
#33
30.32.8
28.525.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
blue by 5.1
35.42.8
22.625.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9
Third
2815
#22
30.22.8
28.625.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
red by 1.8
832
#30
28.42.8
24.126.9
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned