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Red85
175828.0
34238.6
83228.4
Blue93
281530.2
929335.4
381530.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103760501508593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#29
38.60.6
37.236.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
red by 3.2
35.41.2
25.326.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9
Second
832
#30
28.40.6
26.926.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
blue by 2.4
3815
#28
30.71.2
23.624.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Third
1758
#40
28.00.6
29.228.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 2.2
2815
#22
30.21.2
25.727.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned