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Red97
886518.6
348930.3
34350.4
Blue101
753828.4
418837.2
445152.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851165010015097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#6
50.40.9
42.143.0
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.0
blue by 2.0
4451
#10
52.41.9
52.250.3
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
3489
#33DQ
30.30.9
25.726.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
blue by 6.9
4188
#26
37.21.9
34.532.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1
Third
8865
#49
18.60.9
15.916.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End4.4
blue by 9.8
7538
#19
28.41.9
18.616.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned