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Red148
634046.3
110248.7
929335.4
Blue142
691953.9
745133.9
381530.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511050150200250148142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#34
48.71.6
46.848.5
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 5.2
53.92.4
47.650.0
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
Second
6340
#37
46.31.6
47.048.6
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 12.4
7451
#17
33.92.4
31.734.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.8
Third
35.41.6
29.731.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.8
End5.9
red by 4.7
3815
#28
30.72.4
26.729.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned