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Red50
529324.7
334428.9
348930.3
Blue121
886635.9
83228.4
634138.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829820406012014016050121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#33
30.31.9
25.523.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
blue by 7.7
6341
#23
38.12.1
32.134.1
Auto12.7
Teleop16.2
End9.1
Second
3344
#47
28.91.9
30.028.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.6
End7.7
blue by 7.0
8866
#20
35.92.1
32.034.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.5
End5.8
Third
5293
#42
24.71.9
23.221.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
blue by 3.6
832
#30
28.42.1
25.627.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned