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Red157
450951.3
128734.0
691953.9
Blue126
297456.9
453338.5
177152.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14315650100200250157126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.2
52.651.5
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End9.1
blue by 3.0
56.91.2
61.260.0
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
51.31.2
48.847.6
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
blue by 0.9
52.21.2
52.050.7
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
Third
1287
#21
34.01.2
34.333.1
Auto6.6
Teleop21.6
End5.6
blue by 4.5
4533
#24
38.51.2
37.436.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned