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Red148
636632.0
671238.6
168352.2
Blue115
411229.4
529324.7
450951.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12697406080140160180200148115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.1
47.048.1
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
red by 0.9
51.31.3
47.649.0
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
6712
#27
38.61.1
37.238.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.2
End6.0
red by 9.3
4112
#14
29.41.3
24.726.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
Third
6366
#35
32.01.1
32.333.4
Auto12.8
Teleop13.4
End5.6
red by 7.3
5293
#42
24.71.3
22.623.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned