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Red122
602326.1
174646.8
28146.9
Blue115
590026.1
745133.9
450951.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011680100140160122115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#7
46.90.7
42.543.1
Auto12.0
Teleop28.1
End6.3
blue by 4.4
51.30.4
49.049.4
Auto14.2
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
1746
#25
46.80.7
43.644.3
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
red by 12.9
7451
#17
33.90.4
34.234.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.9
End6.8
Third
6023
#38
26.10.7
25.626.2
Auto11.8
Teleop8.5
End5.9
Level
5900
#46
26.10.4
26.026.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned