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Red149
126151.2
445152.4
175828.0
Blue126
141452.8
451631.0
529324.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510350200149126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#10
52.40.9
51.752.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 0.4
1414
#12
52.81.6
49.150.7
Auto13.7
Teleop31.0
End7.9
Second
1261
#13
51.20.9
49.049.9
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 20.2
4516
#39
31.01.6
28.730.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End7.1
Third
1758
#40
28.00.9
29.630.5
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End6.7
red by 3.2
5293
#42
24.71.6
23.925.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned34%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned