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Red113
926039.1
510937.6
753828.4
Blue138
110248.7
411229.4
453338.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061190200300400113138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#31
39.10.8
37.037.8
Auto11.1
Teleop22.9
End5.2
blue by 9.7
1102
#34
48.71.9
47.449.3
Auto14.1
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
5109
#32
37.60.8
38.939.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5
blue by 0.9
4533
#24
38.51.9
36.438.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Third
7538
#19
28.40.8
25.426.2
Auto9.4
Teleop13.8
End5.3
blue by 0.9
4112
#14
29.41.9
26.127.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned