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Red132
126151.2
34238.6
411229.4
Blue126
174646.8
873647.5
241524.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412080100140160132126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
51.21.1
49.951.0
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 3.7
8736
#16
47.50.9
45.145.9
Auto12.5
Teleop25.3
End9.6
Second
342
#29
38.61.1
37.638.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End5.3
blue by 8.2
1746
#25
46.80.9
44.345.2
Auto11.2
Teleop27.5
End7.9
Third
4112
#14
29.41.1
27.929.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End7.4
red by 5.0
2415
#43
24.30.9
23.524.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed