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Red151
126151.2
168352.2
348930.3
Blue150
177152.2
297456.9
510937.6
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141151050100200250300350151150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.4
52.252.6
Auto13.9
Teleop30.8
End7.1
blue by 4.8
56.90.2
56.756.9
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
1261
#13
51.20.4
51.351.6
Auto14.0
Teleop29.7
End7.3
blue by 1.0
52.20.2
51.952.2
Auto17.4
Teleop27.3
End6.7
Third
3489
#33
30.30.4
30.430.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.2
End8.1
blue by 7.3
5109
#32
37.60.2
37.437.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.3
End7.5