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Red110
88657.9
297456.7
634037.6
Blue81
83215.7
451617.4
886619.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11843010015011081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.70.2
56.256.4
Auto13.4
Teleop33.5
End9.7
red by 37.7
8866
#21
19.00.7
18.319.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Second
37.60.2
37.237.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.3
End7.2
red by 20.2
4516
#12
17.40.8
16.517.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.9
Third
8865
#25
7.90.2
7.47.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.3
End4.3
blue by 7.9
832
#22
15.70.7
15.015.7
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6