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Red59
602319.4
590017.1
634037.6
Blue25
175818.3
131115.5
694412.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615002040801001201405925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.4
25.125.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.3
End7.2
red by 19.3
18.32.6
16.113.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.4
Second
19.40.4
16.216.6
Auto9.4
Teleop2.6
End7.3
red by 3.9
1311
#15
15.52.6
20.017.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.6
Third
17.10.4
14.614.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
red by 4.4
6944
#10
12.72.6
11.99.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed