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Red54
688717.0
175818.3
164812.3
Blue25
83215.7
808016.6
131115.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395502060801005425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.7
13.615.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.4
red by 1.7
16.62.7
13.911.2
Auto3.3
Teleop8.4
End4.9
Second
6887
#11
17.01.7
13.915.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End6.1
red by 1.3
832
#22
15.72.7
15.512.8
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
Third
1648
#18
12.31.7
11.112.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End4.9
blue by 3.2
1311
#15
15.52.7
20.117.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed