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Red40
688717.0
100215.7
886619.0
Blue45
451617.4
521910.4
602319.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55460204060801004045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#21
19.01.8
16.414.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.1
End2.4
blue by 0.4
19.41.4
18.316.9
Auto9.4
Teleop2.6
End7.3
Second
6887
#11
17.01.7
19.517.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End6.1
blue by 0.3
4516
#12
17.41.5
14.312.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.9
Third
1002
#16
15.72.0
14.512.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End6.3
red by 5.3
5219
#23
10.41.4
12.010.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed