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Red23
131115.5
602319.4
100215.7
Blue23
451617.4
634116.3
745113.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615901001502002323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.4
Auto9.4
Teleop2.6
End7.3
red by 2.0
4516
#12
17.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.9
Second
1002
#16
15.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End6.3
blue by 0.6
16.3
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End7.0
Third
1311
#15
15.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.6
red by 2.2
7451
#17
13.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed