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Red23
164812.3
83215.7
75149.6
Blue55
131115.5
402611.6
710412.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801002355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#22
15.71.4
14.513.2
Auto1.5
Teleop7.6
End6.6
red by 0.3
1311
#15
15.52.0
17.315.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End4.6
Second
1648
#18
12.31.4
13.111.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End4.9
blue by 0.1
7104
#14
12.41.9
13.511.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End4.4
Third
7514
#19
9.61.1
10.79.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End3.9
blue by 1.9
4026
#13
11.61.9
15.013.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed