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Red58
75149.6
590017.1
602319.4
Blue58
521910.4
670518.6
688717.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848404550555858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto9.4
Teleop2.6
End7.3
red by 0.8
18.60.3
18.318.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End7.1
Second
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
red by 0.1
6887
#11
17.00.3
16.717.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Third
7514
#19
9.60.3
9.49.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End3.9
blue by 0.8
5219
#23
10.40.3
10.110.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.0
End4.7