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Red55
75149.6
590017.1
602319.4
Blue49
100215.7
745113.3
694412.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801005549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.2
19.319.6
Auto9.4
Teleop2.6
End7.3
red by 3.7
1002
#16
15.70.2
15.615.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End6.3
Second
17.10.2
17.017.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End8.0
red by 3.8
7451
#17
13.30.2
13.113.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Third
7514
#19
9.60.2
9.69.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End3.9
blue by 3.1
6944
#10
12.70.2
12.612.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.2