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Red50
175818.3
634116.3
38156.0
Blue45
100215.7
745113.3
694412.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801005045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.2
17.617.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.4
red by 2.6
1002
#16
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End6.3
Second
16.30.2
15.615.4
Auto6.8
Teleop2.6
End7.0
red by 3.1
7451
#17
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.7
End4.3
Third
3815
#20
6.00.2
5.35.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.3
End3.8
blue by 6.7
6944
#10
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End7.2