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Red98
857711.0
450943.4
168342.1
Blue104
177141.9
418834.6
241515.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105952040608012014016018098104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.3
43.743.4
Auto15.0
Teleop21.4
End7.0
red by 1.5
41.90.3
41.641.9
Auto16.0
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
42.10.3
42.542.1
Auto9.4
Teleop25.0
End7.7
red by 7.6
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End7.4
Third
8577
#20
11.00.3
11.311.0
Auto1.1
Teleop5.6
End4.3
blue by 4.2
2415
#17
15.20.3
14.915.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.5