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Red63
69054.4
174624.9
682932.4
Blue124
168342.1
529319.5
418834.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59810204010012014063124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#12
32.40.6
30.830.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.3
blue by 9.8
42.13.0
37.540.5
Auto9.4
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Second
1746
#10
24.90.6
17.917.3
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End9.6
blue by 9.7
34.63.0
24.927.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End7.4
Third
6905
#27
4.40.6
9.48.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.0
blue by 15.1
5293
#11
19.55.1
11.016.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned