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Red45
810020.5
908610.5
90576.0
Blue81
241515.2
179515.6
177141.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282020601001201404581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8100
#13
20.50.0
16.416.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End6.6
blue by 21.3
41.91.0
41.042.1
Auto16.0
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
9086
#26
10.50.0
12.312.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End2.2
blue by 5.1
1795
#14
15.61.0
19.520.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.0
End5.3
Third
9057
#25
6.00.0
16.016.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End2.4
blue by 9.1
2415
#17
15.21.0
11.212.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned