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Red124
692516.8
168342.1
126134.1
Blue43
886517.4
90576.0
753813.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983905015012443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.12.6
41.143.8
Auto9.4
Teleop25.0
End7.7
red by 24.8
17.40.4
14.514.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End5.8
Second
34.13.8
29.733.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.6
End7.4
red by 20.4
7538
#19
13.70.4
14.113.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End1.4
Third
6925
#18
16.83.8
13.917.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End5.8
red by 10.7
9057
#25
6.00.6
15.715.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsMissed