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Red68
691013.8
886517.4
873620.1
Blue19
69054.4
565114.6
529319.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247204060806819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#15
20.11.5
19.320.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.2
End6.4
red by 0.6
5293
#11
19.51.9
21.219.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End7.2
Second
17.41.3
16.317.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End5.8
red by 2.7
5651
#16
14.61.9
17.115.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End5.2
Third
6910
#23
13.81.3
12.213.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End4.1
red by 9.4
6905
#27
4.41.9
6.34.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed