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Red44
174624.9
881513.5
753813.7
Blue114
141430.9
682932.4
908610.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5381020406010012014044114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#10
24.90.4
25.324.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.5
End9.6
blue by 7.5
6829
#12
32.40.5
31.832.3
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.3
Second
7538
#19
13.70.4
14.113.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End1.4
blue by 17.2
30.90.5
30.430.8
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End7.3
Third
13.50.4
14.013.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End6.4
red by 3.0
9086
#26
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End2.2