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Red132
908610.5
682932.4
141430.9
Blue32
873620.1
510926.5
929310.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726220408010012013232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#12
32.40.7
30.030.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End5.3
red by 5.8
26.50.6
27.226.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End5.7
Second
30.90.7
28.529.2
Auto5.0
Teleop18.6
End7.3
red by 10.8
8736
#15
20.10.6
20.820.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.2
End6.4
Third
9086
#26
10.50.7
8.18.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End2.2
blue by 0.4
9293
#24
10.90.6
11.611.0
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End2.1