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Red124
159162.1
907220.0
277135.3
Blue145
116523.6
441555.4
910547.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13312950100150200124145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
#28
62.10.0
61.961.9
Auto17.2
Teleop34.4
End8.4
red by 6.7
4415
#42
55.40.9
55.856.7
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Second
2771
#70
35.30.0
38.138.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.8
End5.3
blue by 11.8
9105
#43
47.10.9
43.043.9
Auto11.6
Teleop26.7
End8.0
Third
9072
#77
20.00.0
24.024.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End6.2
blue by 3.6
1165
#50
23.60.9
22.523.4
Auto10.3
Teleop9.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned