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Red195
803361.2
167878.0
288154.5
Blue183
131865.7
598759.4
261448.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192164100150250195183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.00.4
76.476.8
Auto18.6
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 12.3
1318
#31
65.71.7
64.766.4
Auto16.1
Teleop39.6
End7.2
Second
8033
#19
61.20.4
57.958.3
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End8.8
red by 1.7
5987
#33
59.41.7
56.057.7
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
Third
2881
#52
54.50.4
53.854.2
Auto11.5
Teleop33.9
End7.3
red by 6.5
2614
#61
48.01.7
46.147.8
Auto15.2
Teleop25.4
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned