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Red159
360335.4
111466.1
219447.3
Blue157
445157.9
399643.9
441555.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153165100200250159157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.10.9
65.166.0
Auto13.2
Teleop42.7
End8.0
red by 8.2
57.90.2
57.057.2
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End8.5
Second
2194
#47
47.30.9
45.646.5
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End10.5
blue by 8.1
4415
#42
55.40.2
55.856.0
Auto17.0
Teleop30.5
End7.3
Third
3603
#44
35.40.9
34.335.2
Auto9.1
Teleop20.7
End6.6
blue by 8.5
3996
#23
43.90.2
42.943.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.6
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned