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Red168
598759.4
680057.7
353450.3
Blue139
542743.1
219447.3
501055.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172139100120160180200220240168139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#33
59.40.4
57.057.4
Auto14.0
Teleop34.5
End7.9
red by 4.2
5010
#21
55.30.3
55.455.8
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End8.7
Second
57.70.4
51.251.6
Auto12.3
Teleop36.9
End8.4
red by 10.5
2194
#47
47.30.3
37.638.0
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End10.5
Third
3534
#36
50.30.4
48.849.2
Auto16.0
Teleop28.2
End6.1
red by 7.1
5427
#63
43.10.3
41.041.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned