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Red152
457132.0
580147.0
162241.9
Blue117
442255.3
745138.3
912016.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129112050150200250152117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#27
47.01.6
47.649.2
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
blue by 8.3
4422
#40
55.30.6
54.655.3
Auto13.5
Teleop32.2
End8.4
Second
1622
#62
41.91.6
40.341.9
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End3.7
red by 3.5
7451
#69
38.30.6
37.738.3
Auto11.7
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Third
4571
#59
32.01.6
30.432.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.4
End8.4
red by 15.9
9120
#72
16.20.6
15.516.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned