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Red183
263055.3
445157.9
725840.6
Blue88
907220.0
255147.4
580147.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712310015020018388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.5
57.558.0
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End8.5
red by 10.5
2551
#48
47.42.2
49.647.4
Auto11.1
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Second
2630
#14
55.30.5
53.353.9
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.8
red by 8.3
5801
#27
47.02.2
49.247.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End9.3
Third
7258
#15
40.60.5
40.040.6
Auto10.5
Teleop22.5
End8.3
red by 20.6
9072
#77
20.02.2
22.220.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned